Abrupt climate change: Mechanisms, patterns, and impacts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Abrupt climate change and thermohaline circulation: mechanisms and predictability.
The ocean's thermohaline circulation has long been recognized as potentially unstable and has consequently been invoked as a potential cause of abrupt climate change on all timescales of decades and longer. However, fundamental aspects of thermohaline circulation changes remain poorly understood.
متن کاملAbrupt climate change.
Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could b...
متن کاملAbrupt change in climate and climate models
First, we review the evidence that abrupt climate changes have occurred in the past and then demonstrate that climate models have developing capacity to simulate many of these changes. In particular, the processes by which changes in the ocean circulation drive abrupt changes appear to be captured by climate models to a degree that is encouraging. The evidence that past changes in the ocean hav...
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[1] More than a decade ago, ice core records from Greenland revealed that the last glacial period was characterized by abrupt climate changes that recurred on millennial time scales. Since their discovery, there has been a large effort to determine whether these climate events were a global phenomenon or were just confined to the North Atlantic region and also to reveal the mechanisms that were...
متن کامل“Dangerous” Climate Change: Probabilistic Integrated Assessment, Ecosystem Impacts, and Abrupt Climatic Change
One of the most controversial conclusions to emerge from many of the first generation of integrated assessment models (IAMs) of climate policy was the perceived economic optimality of negligible near-term abatement of greenhouse gases. Typically, such studies were conducted using smoothly varying climate change scenarios or impact responses. Abrupt changes observed in the climatic record and do...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
سال: 2012
ISSN: 0096-3941
DOI: 10.1029/2012eo320006